traitors

This blog post accompanies the SDPR Morning Macro segment that airs on Monday, May 6. Hours before this blogpost published, the Wall Street Journal reported that President Donald Trump announced, in a pair of tweets, that if trade negotiations between the United States and China dragged on much longer, he would significantly increase or newly […]

revolutions

This blog post accompanies the SDPR Morning Macro segment that airs on Monday, April 29. In The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money, John Maynard Keynes (1936) observed, “Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influences, are usually slaves of some defunct economist.  Madmen in authority, who hear voices […]

optimal taxation

This blog post accompanies the SDPR Morning Macro segment that airs on Monday, April 15. Tax day, what better day to discuss tax policy? In principle, the objectives of tax policy include, for example, high standards of living, full employment, strong and robust economic growth and innovation, low rates of poverty, and strong environmental stewardship. […]

a tale of two currencies

This blog post accompanies the SDPR Morning Macro segment that airs on Monday, April 8. On Friday, the Wall Street Journal reported that the foreign-exchange value of the United States dollar neared its highest levels of 2019 because of a strong employment report released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics: the economy added 196,000 […]

yield ahead

This blog post accompanies the SDPR Morning Macro segment that airs on Monday, April 1. On Friday, March 22, 2019, it happened: the yield curve inverted, its slope going from positive to negative.  As James Mackintosh for the Wall Street Journal reported, “The market’s most reliable recession indicator is finally flashing red.”  Nevertheless, the yield […]

fed up

This blog post accompanies the SDPR Morning Macro segment that airs on Monday, March 25. Several years ago, then-Governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, quipped that monetary policy should be boring.  As it happens, making monetary policy boring is a lot tougher than we might think.  In the last year or so, and indeed […]

separation anxiety

This blog post accompanies the SDPR Morning Macro segment that aired Monday, March 18. Last Friday, March 15, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported, “Over the month [of January], hires and separations were little changed at 5.8 million and 5.6 million, respectively.  Within separations, the quits rate was unchanged at 2.3 percent and the layoffs and discharges […]